US National Security Adviser Sullivan: I believe that the Gaza agreement may be reached soon. US National Security Adviser Sullivan said on Thursday that he believes that an agreement on a ceasefire and the release of hostages in Gaza may be reached soon, because Israel has indicated that it is ready and Hamas has shown signs of action.In addition to the front page content, today's People's Daily's main financial contents include: 1. The special promotion activity of "Investing in China" in the Middle East was held in the United Arab Emirates; 2. Promote China's economic ships to ride the wind and waves to achieve stability (talk about implementation)-comrades attending the meeting talk about implementing the spirit of the Central Economic Work Conference; 3. On the 10th anniversary of the comprehensive water supply, the first phase of the East Central Line Project has transferred more than 76.7 billion cubic meters of water to the northern region, solidly promoting the South-to-North Water Transfer Project to exert greater benefits (authoritative release); 4. Overcome the problem of traveling on the thin soft soil seabed, and the domestic underwater cable laying robot can complete the launching test with an operating speed of kilometers per hour; 5. Ensure that artificial intelligence is always a "friend" (live comment); 6, more and better use of clean energy (micro); 7. The tenth batch of 62 kinds of drugs were successfully purchased by the state, and the products selected in this centralized purchase will be used in April next year; 8. The competitiveness index of China's overall agricultural scientific papers ranks first in the world; 9. The personal pension system will be implemented nationwide, and the number of accounts opened has exceeded 70 million, adding more stable income investment varieties. Experts advise investors to allocate products according to their own risk preferences, financial management knowledge and age; 10. In the first nine months of this year, tourism revenue increased by 8.6% year-on-year. Brazil accelerated the development of tourism and expected more tourists from China to visit; 11. Malaya Investment Bank-The economies of several ASEAN countries are expected to maintain growth next year.Fang Yi, Chief Strategy Officer of Guotai Junan: The conditions of "transformation cattle" in China stock market are forming four themes, focusing on mergers and acquisitions and self-control. Fang Yi, Chief Analyst of Guotai Junan Strategy, said at the main forum of Guotai Junan 2025 investment strategy that the bottom of China stock market has appeared, and the conditions of "transformation cattle" are forming; The key driving force of the market comes from the decline of risk-free interest rate and the boost of risk preference, and the economic expectation is expected to be revised up in 2025H2; The mid-line of the stock market is expected to get out of the N-rhythm. Theme recommendation: merger and reorganization/self-control/humanoid robot/self-consumption. 1) M&A and reorganization: the regulatory tolerance of cross-border M&A and acquisition of unprofitable assets has been improved, and we are optimistic about the traditional industry leaders who are the main enterprises of science and technology chain and benefit from the optimization of industry structure; 2) Self-control: global science and technology supply chain reconstruction, optimistic about the improvement of localization rate of advanced semiconductors/basic software; 3) Humanoid robot: mass production and application scenario expansion are accelerated, and key components such as dexterous hands/actuators are optimistic; 4) Self-satisfaction consumption: demographic changes have given birth to new consumption patterns, and we are optimistic about the high growth of secondary consumption/pet consumption.
Australia's S&P/ASX200 index opened down 66.80 points, or 0.80%, at 8263.50 points on Friday, December 13th.Reminder: Please pay attention to it during the day (the following are all Beijing time). ① At 07: 50, the outlook index of large-scale manufacturing industry in Japan in the fourth quarter is short-sighted; ② At 10: 35, Hunter, Assistant Chairman of Reserve Bank of Australia, made a speech; ③ 15:00 UK merchandise trade account for October; ④ At 16: 00, Villeroy, Governor of the European Central Bank and Governor of the Bank of France, made a speech; ⑤ 17:00 Speech by Robert Holzmann, ECB Management Committee; 6. At 18: 00, the Bundesbank announced the semi-annual forecast report, and the industrial output of the euro zone in October; ⑦ 19:00 Speech by Mario Centeno, ECB Governing Committee and Governor of Portuguese Central Bank; 8: 21: 30 US import price index in November.Goldman Sachs: We estimate that if the price of Brent crude oil falls to the range of more than $50/barrel by the end of 2025, the growth rate of shale oil supply in the United States will fall below 100,000 barrels per day in 2025, which in turn will push the price of Brent crude oil up by $8 per barrel in 2025.
Economic Daily commentator's article: Keep prices at a reasonable level. The Economic Daily issued a document saying that it is foreseeable that the implementation of macro-policies will create a better monetary and financial environment for economic growth and price stability, and also help to accelerate the formation of a virtuous circle of mutual promotion of consumption and investment, and promote a higher level of dynamic balance between supply and demand. Price is the "thermometer" of macroeconomic operation, the "wind vane" of market allocation of resources, and the "baton" of micro-management. Too high or too low is not conducive to economic and social development. In the short term, the decline in price level will help reduce the burden on consumers. However, if the price level continues to run at a low level, enterprises will "increase their income without increasing their profits", and the "involution" competition will intensify, and the motivation for expanding investment will weaken, which will further reduce employment opportunities and slow down the growth of wage income. Too low a price level will also raise the real interest rate, which may inhibit economic activities.Fitch: It is estimated that the sales growth rate of food, beverage, tobacco and consumer goods will be in low single digits in 2025.Morgan Stanley downgraded Wharf to low allocation with a target price of HK$ 20.
Strategy guide
Strategy guide